Analyses / AMD vs INTC
AMD vs INTC
Side by Side
| AMD | INTC | |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Advanced Micro Devices Inc | Intel Corp |
| Price | $516.13 | $97.19 |
| Today | — | — |
| Valuation | OVERVALUED | Mixed — Book and gross margin suggest value, but profitability collapse and cash-generation weakness push multiples to unsustainable levels. |
| Valuation score | 28/100 | 48/100 |
| Setup | Growth / Momentum | Recovery/Turnaround — High Risk |
| Confidence | 62 | 42 |
| Category | Large Cap | Large-Cap Semiconductor |
The Case for Each
AMD
Bull: Strong revenue growth (13.6% YoY, 28.8% 5Y CAGR) and EPS growth (46.7% LTM) driven by AI chip demand. Gross margin 49.5% healthy. Enterprise value $840.7B reflects AI/data-center TAM expansion. Beta 2.53 captures upside leverage if sector momentum resumes.
Bear: P/E 131x and forward P/E 194x imply perfection pricing; P/S 24.3x elevated vs. semiconductors historical norms. Insider selling (234 sells vs. 48 buys, 2.2M net sold) is structural red flag. Recent AI sector warnings (Anthropic CEO, Bank of Korea stability concerns) cooling sentiment. Price down from 52w high $584.73.
INTC
Bull: Strong insider net buying (2.1M shares bought vs. 1.1M sold over period). Exposed to secular edge/embedded systems growth. 34.8% gross margins suggest underlying IP strength. Dividend yield 1.14% attractive for patient holders if turnaround executes.
Bear: Net margin -0.51% signals unprofitability despite top-line scale. Revenue down 5.7% YoY, -7.5% over 5Y — structural decline risk. EV/EBITDA 36.1x and P/S 9.8x extreme for shrinking revenue. FCF-to-price ratio (56.9x) suggests weak cash generation. Payout ratio 74.8% unsustainable if margins don't recover.
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