Analyses / AMD vs INTC
AMD vs INTC
Side by Side
| AMD | INTC | |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Advanced Micro Devices Inc | Intel Corp |
| Price | $429.56 | $81.88 |
| Today | — | — |
| Valuation | overvalued | MIXED VALUATION SIGNALS |
| Valuation score | 28/100 | 48/100 |
| Setup | growth | recovery / deep-value / turnaround |
| Confidence | 52 | 55 |
| Category | Large Cap | large-cap semiconductor |
The Case for Each
AMD
Bull: Strong revenue growth (13.64% YoY, 28.82% 5Y CAGR) and EPS growth (46.65% YoY) signal robust demand in AI/data center. Gross margins solid at 49.52%. Current pullback from $584.73 52-week high may create entry for long-term investors before next catalysts.
Bear: Valuation remains stretched: P/E 140.9x, forward P/E 162.8x, P/S 20.4x, EV/EBITDA 143.5x. Price/FCF 104.8x signals capital intensity. Insider selling (241 sells vs 80 buys; net -513k shares) suggests management caution. Down 5.5% today; 26% below 52-week high indicates momentum weakness in semiconductor sector.
INTC
Bull: AI CPU demand accelerating (94.1% forecast surge 2026). Market share recovery potential vs. AMD/NVDA. Foundry upside optionality. Insider net-buying 2.1M shares. Dividend yield 1.14% with 74.8% payout provides downside cushion. P/B 1.53x below historical avg. 52-week rout (down 43% YoY) has shaken weak hands.
Bear: Revenue down -5.7% YTD, -7.5% 5Y. Net margin negative (-0.51%); operating margin thin (5.88%). EV/EBITDA 29.7x expensive for declining revenue. P/FCF 45.9x elevated vs. growth rate. Execution risk on process node roadmap (Intel 4, 3, 18A). Foundry capex heavy, unproven. Competition entrenched (TSMC, Samsung). Payout ratio 74.8% leaves little room for capex without debt/dilution.
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