Analyses / NFLX vs DIS
NFLX vs DIS
Side by Side
| NFLX | DIS | |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Netflix Inc | Walt Disney Co |
| Price | $73.63 | $98.48 |
| Today | — | — |
| Valuation | ELEVATED FOR SECTOR, FAIR FOR GROWTH PROFILE | undervalued |
| Valuation score | 58/100 | 72/100 |
| Setup | growth | value_recovery |
| Confidence | 62 | 68 |
| Category | Large Cap | Large Cap |
The Case for Each
NFLX
Bull: Revenue growth sustained at 12.6% YoY with 24.3% net margin and 29.5% operating margin; EPS growing 36.4% YoY shows leverage; expanding ad tier and sports content (FIFA Women's World Cup rights) diversify revenue. Valuation lower than 52-week high despite strong fundamentals suggests potential recovery upside if growth re-accelerates.
Bear: Forward P/E 27.4x signals investors pricing significant growth; stock down 42% from 52-week high ($126.71) reflects market concerns on streaming saturation and slowing subscriber growth. Insiders net-selling heavily (360 sells vs 246 buys; 7.6M shares sold vs 4.5M bought) is red flag. Price-to-FCF 31.8x and EV/EBITDA 23.1x leave little margin for error if growth disappoints.
DIS
Bull: Forward P/E 13.8x offers discount to historical; EPS growth +58% YoY signals recovery momentum. Disney+ path to profitability + theme park resilience + strong insider buying (93 buys vs 77 sells). Citi $135 PT implies 37% upside.
Bear: Streaming competition intense; Disney+ margin expansion uncertain. Current ratio 0.71 signals liquidity tightness. 19% YTD drawdown from 52-week high suggests sector rotation headwinds. Cost-cutting (Pixar/animation layoffs) indicates near-term profitability challenges.
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