Analyses / TSLA vs NIO
TSLA vs NIO
A head-to-head on Tesla Inc and NIO Inc — valuation, the setup, and the case for each. Tap either ticker for the full trade brief.
Side by Side
| TSLA | NIO | |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Tesla Inc | NIO Inc |
| Price | $393.45 | $4.79 |
| Today | — | — |
| Valuation | overvalued | overvalued |
| Valuation score | 25/100 | 25/100 |
| Setup | Technical Reversal / Valuation Mean-Reversion | speculative recovery / growth turnaround |
| Confidence | 58 | 35 |
| Category | Large Cap | small cap |
The Case for Each
TSLA
Bull: Stock trades 21% below 52-week high ($498.83); strong Q2 delivery reports lift supplier sentiment; 5Y revenue CAGR 24.6% remains industry-leading; 2.16x current ratio & 1.55x quick ratio signal solid balance sheet. Oversold bounce from intra-day lows ($389.30) to day high ($432.35) shows demand support. Institutional accumulation possible if macro fear recedes.
Bear: Forward P/E 389x is structurally unsustainable for a 5% revenue growth company; EPS down 33% YoY while valuation stays elevated signals market repricing risk. Net margin collapsed to 4% (vs historical 10%+), gross margin 18% under pressure. Insider activity skews 2:1 sell-to-buy (95 sells vs 42 buys, $418B shares sold vs $827B bought). EV/EBITDA 131x implies perfection priced in; any miss triggers cascade.
NIO
Bull: Q2 delivered 107k+ EVs, showing demand strength in China's premium segment. Revenue growth 21% YoY (5Y: 40% CAGR). P/S 0.89 is low vs growth rate; if profitability inflection occurs, stock could re-rate. Beta 0.92 provides some downside cushion vs market.
Bear: Net margin -17.8%, operating margin -16.07% — unprofitable at scale. P/B 18.1x is extreme for negative-return stock. Price-to-FCF 94.7x signals heavy cash burn. Current ratio 0.975 < 1.0 suggests liquidity squeeze. Insider selling 1.05M shares vs 700k bought (3:1 sell/buy ratio) = insiders exiting. EV/EBITDA negative. Stock down 40% from 52-week high ($8.02 → $4.79).
Compare any two stocks, live
Run real-time analysis on TSLA, NIO, or any of 5,000+ tickers — free.
Open Sigma Terminal →