Track Record / AAPL
AAPL
Called Jun 29, 2026
at $284.67
at $284.67
▲ Bullish
+7.0% over 3 months
Reference price
$284.67
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Sep 29, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized +18.6%
Reference price
$284.67
Price at horizon
$337.56
Realized move
+18.6%
Scored Sep 29, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+7.0%; realized +18.6%.
The Call
Large-cap tech at 34x trailing P/E, 10% off 52-week high; premium valuation meets slowing growth and heavy insider selling.
Base-case reasoning
Retest of 52-week high plausible if macro holds; India probe resolution or escalation is binary risk factor.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Services re-accelerates, India probe dismissed, macro risk-on drives multiple expansion back to 52W high and beyond.
▼ Bear
India antitrust adverse ruling + macro risk-off compresses multiple toward 30x; stock could revisit $255 support.
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