Track Record / ABNB
ABNB
Called Jul 13, 2026
at $146.83
at $146.83
▼ Bearish
-0.2% over 1 week
Reference price
$146.83
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 20, 2026
FLAT
Scored FLAT · realized -0.3%
Reference price
$146.83
Price at horizon
$146.44
Realized move
-0.3%
Scored Jul 20, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
-0.2%; realized -0.3%.
The Call
Near 52-week highs, strong margins, but insider selling pressure and premium valuation cap near-term upside.
Base-case reasoning
Consolidating near 52-week high; range-bound unless news catalyst breaks resistance at $150.19.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
World Cup 2026 demand surge + earnings beat + new HQ signals product expansion. Multiple holds at 38x.
▼ Bear
Macro slowdown dents travel spend, guidance cut, NYC regulatory overhang amplifies selling.
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