Track Record / ARM
ARM
Called Jul 24, 2026
at $285.09
at $285.09
▲ Bullish
+1.0% over 1 week
Reference price
$285.09
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 31, 2026
Pending
This call is open and on the clock
Scores on Jul 31, 2026
A public commitment, made Jul 24, 2026 with ARM at $285.09.
It will be scored automatically on its horizon date against the trailing 3-day average price — whether it's right or wrong.
Nothing here is hindsight: the call, the entry price, and the deadline were all fixed at the time it was made.
The Call
AI-era IP royalty engine trading at extreme growth multiples; 36% off 52-week highs but still richly priced at P/E ~334x
Base-case reasoning
Momentum from Intel-driven after-hours lift; near-term resistance around 52-week range midpoint; high beta amplifies noise.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Armv9 royalty ramp accelerates; AI server + data center wins expand TAM; multiple re-rates as EPS growth closes gap.
▼ Bear
Growth disappoints or macro tightens; multiple compresses sharply from 333x; high beta accelerates downside. RISC-V threat re-emerges.
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