Track Record / BABA
BABA
Called Jul 18, 2026
at $114.97
at $114.97
▲ Bullish
+0.5% over 1 week
Reference price
$114.97
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 25, 2026
Pending
This call is open and on the clock
Scores on Jul 25, 2026
A public commitment, made Jul 18, 2026 with BABA at $114.97.
It will be scored automatically on its horizon date against the trailing 3-day average price — whether it's right or wrong.
Nothing here is hindsight: the call, the entry price, and the deadline were all fixed at the time it was made.
The Call
Large-cap Chinese tech at 40% below 52W high; Apple AI partnership catalyst vs. persistent geopolitical overhang and margin compression.
Base-case reasoning
Apple AI catalyst fading; near-term support ~$112. Digesting today's -2.1% drop.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Apple AI partnership expands BABA cloud/AI revenue; China consumer recovery lifts commerce. Multiple re-rates to 22x.
▼ Bear
Escalating US-China tensions, ADR delisting threat, or China macro deterioration crushes sentiment.
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