Track Record / BABA
BABA
Called Jul 18, 2026
at $114.97
at $114.97
▲ Bullish
+5.2% over 1 month
Reference price
$114.97
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 18, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized +7.5%
Reference price
$114.97
Price at horizon
$123.56
Realized move
+7.5%
Scored Aug 18, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+5.2%; realized +7.5%.
The Call
Large-cap Chinese tech at 40% below 52W high; Apple AI partnership catalyst vs. persistent geopolitical overhang and margin compression.
Base-case reasoning
AI partnership newsflow could sustain momentum if Apple-BABA deal details emerge.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Apple AI partnership expands BABA cloud/AI revenue; China consumer recovery lifts commerce. Multiple re-rates to 22x.
▼ Bear
Escalating US-China tensions, ADR delisting threat, or China macro deterioration crushes sentiment.
See how Sigma calls any ticker
Every official call is logged here and scored by a fixed rule. Run a live analysis on any of 5,000+ stocks — free.
Analyze BABA live →