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Track Record / BAC

BAC Called Jul 29, 2026
at $62.01
▲ Bullish +2.1% over 1 month
Reference price
$62.01
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 29, 2026
FLAT
Scored FLAT · realized -0.2%
Reference price
$62.01
Price at horizon
$61.91
Realized move
-0.2%
Scored Aug 29, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called +2.1%; realized -0.2%.

The Call

Large-cap diversified bank trading near 52-week highs; value thesis intact with modest income yield and improving EPS trajectory.

Base-case reasoning

Q2 earnings comparison data and rate narrative could drive modest upside; Fed chatter is a headwind.

Bull & Bear

▲ Bull

Rate normalization boosts NIM; EPS accelerates toward 15%+ growth; buybacks + dividend hike rerate stock to 15.5x.

▼ Bear

Rate hike surprise compresses credit; NIM erodes; credit losses tick up; stock re-rates to ~11x trailing EPS.

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