Track Record / BAC
BAC
Called Jul 29, 2026
at $62.01
at $62.01
▲ Bullish
+6.9% over 3 months
Reference price
$62.01
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 29, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -17.6%
Reference price
$62.01
Price at horizon
$51.07
Realized move
-17.6%
Scored Oct 29, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+6.9%; realized -17.6%.
The Call
Large-cap diversified bank trading near 52-week highs; value thesis intact with modest income yield and improving EPS trajectory.
Base-case reasoning
If NIM stabilizes and EPS growth sustains ~14% 5yr trend, multiple expansion to 15–16x supports move higher.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Rate normalization boosts NIM; EPS accelerates toward 15%+ growth; buybacks + dividend hike rerate stock to 15.5x.
▼ Bear
Rate hike surprise compresses credit; NIM erodes; credit losses tick up; stock re-rates to ~11x trailing EPS.
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