Track Record / BAC
BAC
Called Jul 29, 2026
at $62.01
at $62.01
▼ Bearish
-0.3% over 1 week
Reference price
$62.01
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 5, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized +1.4%
Reference price
$62.01
Price at horizon
$62.89
Realized move
+1.4%
Scored Aug 5, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
-0.3%; realized +1.4%.
The Call
Large-cap diversified bank trading near 52-week highs; value thesis intact with modest income yield and improving EPS trajectory.
Base-case reasoning
Near 52-week high with slight negative day; likely range-bound absent macro catalyst.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Rate normalization boosts NIM; EPS accelerates toward 15%+ growth; buybacks + dividend hike rerate stock to 15.5x.
▼ Bear
Rate hike surprise compresses credit; NIM erodes; credit losses tick up; stock re-rates to ~11x trailing EPS.
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