Track Record / COIN
COIN
Called Jul 5, 2026
at $165.48
at $165.48
▲ Bullish
+10.0% over 1 month
Reference price
$165.48
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 5, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -9.5%
Reference price
$165.48
Price at horizon
$149.68
Realized move
-9.5%
Scored Aug 5, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+10.0%; realized -9.5%.
The Call
Crypto-native exchange riding regulatory tailwinds; 63% off 52-week highs despite today's +3.9% bounce. High-beta vol play on BTC sentiment.
Base-case reasoning
Crypto bill progress + stablecoin network news could sustain buying. Risk: BTC pullback or macro risk-off snaps rally fast.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
BTC >$70K, US crypto bill passes, stablecoin network gains adoption; volumes surge, COIN re-rates to 45x forward earnings.
▼ Bear
BTC drops below $50K on macro risk-off or regulatory setback; trading volumes collapse; COIN revenue guidance cut, stock tests 52-week lows.
See how Sigma calls any ticker
Every official call is logged here and scored by a fixed rule. Run a live analysis on any of 5,000+ stocks — free.
Analyze COIN live →