Track Record / CRWV
CRWV
Called Jul 6, 2026
at $81.75
at $81.75
▲ Bullish
+12.5% over 1 month
Reference price
$81.75
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 6, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized +9.1%
Reference price
$81.75
Price at horizon
$89.18
Realized move
+9.1%
Scored Aug 6, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+12.5%; realized +9.1%.
The Call
AI cloud infrastructure play — explosive revenue growth offset by heavy losses, insider selling, and a 51% drawdown from highs
Base-case reasoning
Oversold bounce possible if AI sentiment stabilizes, but insider selling and thin liquidity cap upside
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
AI capex sustains; CRWV signs multi-year hyperscaler deals; path to profitability emerges; re-rates to 12x PS
▼ Bear
Customer concentration risk hits; macro tightens GPU budgets; cash burn accelerates; breaks below IPO support
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