Track Record / CRWV
CRWV
Called Jul 6, 2026
at $81.75
at $81.75
▲ Bullish
+19.9% over 3 months
Reference price
$81.75
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 6, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized +8.3%
Reference price
$81.75
Price at horizon
$88.53
Realized move
+8.3%
Scored Oct 6, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+19.9%; realized +8.3%.
The Call
AI cloud infrastructure play — explosive revenue growth offset by heavy losses, insider selling, and a 51% drawdown from highs
Base-case reasoning
Earnings path and contract renewal news will dictate; wide range reflects binary-style outcomes
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
AI capex sustains; CRWV signs multi-year hyperscaler deals; path to profitability emerges; re-rates to 12x PS
▼ Bear
Customer concentration risk hits; macro tightens GPU budgets; cash burn accelerates; breaks below IPO support
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