Track Record / CVX
CVX
Called Jul 17, 2026
at $183.86
at $183.86
▲ Bullish
+0.9% over 1 week
Reference price
$183.86
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 24, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized +4.9%
Reference price
$183.86
Price at horizon
$192.82
Realized move
+4.9%
Scored Jul 24, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+0.9%; realized +4.9%.
The Call
Large-cap integrated energy; 3.87% yield, 14% off 52w high, EPS under pressure but Iraq catalyst emerging
Base-case reasoning
Sector momentum up; Iraq news could sustain a short lift. Range-bound near day high of $184.83.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Oil recovers to $85+; Iraq production adds supply upside; EPS inflects positive; dividend confirmed safe.
▼ Bear
Oil slides below $60; dividend cut forced by 103% payout ratio; insider selling accelerates; multiple compresses.
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