Track Record / CVX
CVX
Called Jun 27, 2026
at $171.09
at $171.09
▼ Bearish
-0.3% over 1 week
Reference price
$171.09
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 4, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized -2.5%
Reference price
$171.09
Price at horizon
$166.88
Realized move
-2.5%
Scored Jul 4, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
-0.3%; realized -2.5%.
The Call
Dividend Aristocrat under pressure: 20% off 52-week high, elevated P/E vs. compressed margins, but 4.1% yield offers income cushion.
Base-case reasoning
Consolidating near $171 support; crude sentiment and macro tone dictate near-term range.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Crude oil rallies above $85/bbl, Iran deal collapses, EPS recovers — P/E normalizes and dividend coverage restored.
▼ Bear
Crude slips below $60, CVX cuts or freezes dividend, insider selling accelerates, multiple compresses to 10x earnings.
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