Track Record / CVX
CVX
Called Jun 27, 2026
at $171.09
at $171.09
▲ Bullish
+5.2% over 3 months
Reference price
$171.09
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Sep 27, 2026
Pending
This call is open and on the clock
Scores on Sep 27, 2026
A public commitment, made Jun 27, 2026 with CVX at $171.09.
It will be scored automatically on its horizon date against the trailing 3-day average price — whether it's right or wrong.
Nothing here is hindsight: the call, the entry price, and the deadline were all fixed at the time it was made.
The Call
Dividend Aristocrat under pressure: 20% off 52-week high, elevated P/E vs. compressed margins, but 4.1% yield offers income cushion.
Base-case reasoning
Recovery scenario tied to oil price and earnings stabilization. Heavy insider selling caps upside confidence.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Crude oil rallies above $85/bbl, Iran deal collapses, EPS recovers — P/E normalizes and dividend coverage restored.
▼ Bear
Crude slips below $60, CVX cuts or freezes dividend, insider selling accelerates, multiple compresses to 10x earnings.
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