Track Record / DIS
DIS
Called Jul 13, 2026
at $96.92
at $96.92
▲ Bullish
+11.4% over 3 months
Reference price
$96.92
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 13, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized +12.3%
Reference price
$96.92
Price at horizon
$108.82
Realized move
+12.3%
Scored Oct 13, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+11.4%; realized +12.3%.
The Call
Large-cap media at 52-week lows, valuation reset complete — recovery thesis building but execution risk remains.
Base-case reasoning
Earnings catalyst + streaming margin data could drive re-rating. Bull case needs revenue acceleration; bear case if macro deteriorates.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Streaming reaches sustained profitability; parks attendance resilient; 17x earnings re-rating. Insider accumulation confirms thesis.
▼ Bear
Macro recession hits parks & ad revenue; streaming loses subscribers; debt servicing pressure. Current ratio <1 leaves limited buffer.
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