Track Record / GOOG
GOOG
Called Jul 18, 2026
at $346.12
at $346.12
▲ Bullish
+10.4% over 3 months
Reference price
$346.12
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 18, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -1.2%
Reference price
$346.12
Price at horizon
$341.82
Realized move
-1.2%
Scored Oct 18, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+10.4%; realized -1.2%.
The Call
AI-driven Cloud acceleration vs. regulatory headwinds & stretched price-to-FCF; stock 15% off 52w high on today's selloff.
Base-case reasoning
Next earnings cycle could re-rate on Cloud beats; regulatory clarity either way is a catalyst.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Cloud re-accelerates, AI Search monetizes faster than feared, EU case settles; re-test 52w high.
▼ Bear
EU mandates structural data-sharing, AI search cannibalization accelerates, FCF disappoints vs. elevated multiple.
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