Track Record / GOOGL
GOOGL
Called Jun 30, 2026
at $351.84
at $351.84
▲ Bullish
+9.6% over 3 months
Reference price
$351.84
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Sep 30, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -2.2%
Reference price
$351.84
Price at horizon
$344.09
Realized move
-2.2%
Scored Sep 30, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+9.6%; realized -2.2%.
The Call
Dow newcomer trading 14% off 52w high; strong margins but insider selling and digital-tax tariff risk weigh near-term.
Base-case reasoning
If antitrust headwinds stay manageable and AI monetization accelerates, retest of 52w high plausible.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
AI monetization accelerates in Search+GCP; antitrust resolved favorably; Dow inflows provide sustained bid; EPS growth sustains 30%+.
▼ Bear
DOJ mandates Search remedies; digital-tax tariffs cut international ad revenue; broad tech multiple compression.
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