Track Record / GS
GS
Called Jul 10, 2026
at $1,055.97
at $1,055.97
▲ Bullish
+5.6% over 3 months
Reference price
$1,055.97
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 10, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -15.9%
Reference price
$1,055.97
Price at horizon
$888.37
Realized move
-15.9%
Scored Oct 10, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+5.6%; realized -15.9%.
The Call
Large-cap investment bank at 52-week mid-range; strong revenue growth but heavy insider selling and elevated macro uncertainty warrant measured positioning.
Base-case reasoning
Re-test of 52-week high plausible if deal flow recovers and Fed clarity emerges; downside if credit spreads widen.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Fed cuts re-open M&A/IPO pipeline; FICC trading revenues surge on carry and FX vol; P/E expands to 19x on EPS beat.
▼ Bear
Credit spreads widen, deal flow dries up, insider selling accelerates; multiple compresses to 14x trailing EPS.
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