Track Record / HOOD
HOOD
Called Jul 5, 2026
at $112.73
at $112.73
▲ Bullish
+2.5% over 1 week
Reference price
$112.73
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 12, 2026
FLAT
Scored FLAT · realized +0.7%
Reference price
$112.73
Price at horizon
$113.54
Realized move
+0.7%
Scored Jul 12, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+2.5%; realized +0.7%.
The Call
High-beta fintech at 27% off 52w high — momentum vs stretched valuation with heavy insider selling
Base-case reasoning
Today's +3.75% surge off Goldman catalyst; near-term follow-through likely but daily high of $120 shows overhead resistance
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Crypto rally, prediction market expansion, Goldman upgrade cycle, and AI narrative push HOOD back to 52w highs
▼ Bear
Risk-off macro move, crypto correction, or earnings miss at stretched multiples triggers a -30%+ flush given beta 2.3
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