Track Record / HOOD
HOOD
Called Jul 5, 2026
at $112.73
at $112.73
▲ Bullish
+22.4% over 3 months
Reference price
$112.73
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 5, 2026
Pending
This call is open and on the clock
Scores on Oct 5, 2026
A public commitment, made Jul 5, 2026 with HOOD at $112.73.
It will be scored automatically on its horizon date against the trailing 3-day average price — whether it's right or wrong.
Nothing here is hindsight: the call, the entry price, and the deadline were all fixed at the time it was made.
The Call
High-beta fintech at 27% off 52w high — momentum vs stretched valuation with heavy insider selling
Base-case reasoning
Bull case re-tests 52w high; bear case a weak quarter or risk-off flush breaks $100. Wide range reflects beta 2.3 reality.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Crypto rally, prediction market expansion, Goldman upgrade cycle, and AI narrative push HOOD back to 52w highs
▼ Bear
Risk-off macro move, crypto correction, or earnings miss at stretched multiples triggers a -30%+ flush given beta 2.3
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