Track Record / IBM
IBM
Called Jun 27, 2026
at $271.67
at $271.67
▲ Bullish
+4.5% over 1 month
Reference price
$271.67
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
58%
Scores on
Jul 27, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -21.7%
Reference price
$271.67
Price at horizon
$212.58
Realized move
-21.7%
Scored Jul 27, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+4.5%; realized -21.7%.
The Call
Sub-1nm chip + Anderon Quantum Foundry catalysts drive today's 5.2% surge; 18% below 52-wk high with AI/quantum narrative building
Base-case reasoning
Today's catalyst gap holds; stock consolidates $265-280 then grinds higher on next earnings beat. Moderate upside from current levels.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Quantum Foundry + sub-1nm chip drive enterprise pipeline. Insider buy imbalance sustains. 52-wk high retrace to $305 over 2-3 months.
▼ Bear
Gap fill back to $252-255, macro headwinds (Iran/geopolitical), revenue growth disappointment at next earnings quarter.
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