Track Record / INTC
INTC
Called Jul 23, 2026
at $102.62
at $102.62
▲ Bullish
+0.9% over 1 week
Reference price
$102.62
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 30, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -15.6%
Reference price
$102.62
Price at horizon
$86.62
Realized move
-15.6%
Scored Jul 30, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+0.9%; realized -15.6%.
The Call
Earnings-driven binary event looms; insider buying balanced by structural decline, negative margins, and beta-2.2 volatility risk.
Base-case reasoning
Earnings event binary; wide range reflects beat vs miss scenario. Macro headwinds (Middle East, AI spend fears) add downside pressure.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Q2 blowout beat + CFO supply confirmation triggers short squeeze; semiconductor sector rotation adds fuel.
▼ Bear
Miss on revenue or margin guidance re-rates stock lower; high beta amplifies sector-wide risk-off move.
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