Track Record / INTC
INTC
Called Jul 23, 2026
at $102.62
at $102.62
▲ Bullish
+5.2% over 3 months
Reference price
$102.62
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 23, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -12.3%
Reference price
$102.62
Price at horizon
$90.05
Realized move
-12.3%
Scored Oct 23, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+5.2%; realized -12.3%.
The Call
Earnings-driven binary event looms; insider buying balanced by structural decline, negative margins, and beta-2.2 volatility risk.
Base-case reasoning
Foundry ramp and AI-PC cycle updates key. Structural headwinds limit sustained upside; wide band reflects high beta and uncertain profitability path.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Q2 blowout beat + CFO supply confirmation triggers short squeeze; semiconductor sector rotation adds fuel.
▼ Bear
Miss on revenue or margin guidance re-rates stock lower; high beta amplifies sector-wide risk-off move.
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