Track Record / IREN
IREN
Called Jul 3, 2026
at $38.82
at $38.82
▲ Bullish
+13.3% over 1 month
Reference price
$38.82
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 3, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -10.4%
Reference price
$38.82
Price at horizon
$34.79
Realized move
-10.4%
Scored Aug 3, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+13.3%; realized -10.4%.
The Call
Down 10.4% today on governance backlash + Nasdaq selloff. Beta 4.3 means wild swings. 50% off 52-week high. Jim Chanos circling.
Base-case reasoning
Revenue growth story intact but insider selling + activist short pressure may suppress recovery. Sentiment reset needed.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Governance fears resolve, insider selling stops, AI cloud demand accelerates revenue beyond 100% growth. Sentiment flip could drive rapid mean-reversion.
▼ Bear
Continued governance deterioration, further insider selling, Nasdaq weakness, and high beta amplify losses. Margin compression reveals overvaluation.
See how Sigma calls any ticker
Every official call is logged here and scored by a fixed rule. Run a live analysis on any of 5,000+ stocks — free.
Analyze IREN live →