Track Record / JPM
JPM
Called Jul 29, 2026
at $353.84
at $353.84
▲ Bullish
+6.0% over 3 months
Reference price
$353.84
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 29, 2026
Pending
This call is open and on the clock
Scores on Oct 29, 2026
A public commitment, made Jul 29, 2026 with JPM at $353.84.
It will be scored automatically on its horizon date against the trailing 3-day average price — whether it's right or wrong.
Nothing here is hindsight: the call, the entry price, and the deadline were all fixed at the time it was made.
The Call
Large-cap banking bellwether trading near 52-week highs; modest pullback today with solid fundamentals and constructive insider net buying.
Base-case reasoning
Base case: earnings momentum and IB fee cycle sustain gradual re-rating; recession risk is the main downside.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
IB fee cycle accelerates, NIM holds, EPS beats forward estimates, stock re-rates to 18x forward.
▼ Bear
Recession triggers provision builds, NIM compresses on rate cuts, credit losses rise; de-rates to ~12x.
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