Track Record / LCID
LCID
Called Jul 6, 2026
at $6.31
at $6.31
▲ Bullish
+42.2% over 3 months
Reference price
$6.31
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 6, 2026
Pending
This call is open and on the clock
Scores on Oct 6, 2026
A public commitment, made Jul 6, 2026 with LCID at $6.31.
It will be scored automatically on its horizon date against the trailing 3-day average price — whether it's right or wrong.
Nothing here is hindsight: the call, the entry price, and the deadline were all fixed at the time it was made.
The Call
Deep-loss EV startup: Saudi-backed liquidity runway, rising deliveries, but path to profitability remains distant and dilution risk is ever-present.
Base-case reasoning
Bull scenario: short squeeze + ramp narrative. Bear: cash raise at discount crushes price.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Gravity SUV ramp accelerates, CA incentives drive demand, short squeeze adds fuel, new CFO brings cost discipline. Re-rates toward $10–11.
▼ Bear
Equity raise at steep discount, macro EV demand softens, new CFO signals deeper problems. Breaks below $4.47 support and re-tests $3–3.50.
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