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Track Record / LCID

LCID Called Jul 6, 2026
at $6.31
▲ Bullish +13.7% over 1 month
Reference price
$6.31
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 6, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized +11.6%
Reference price
$6.31
Price at horizon
$7.04
Realized move
+11.6%
Scored Aug 6, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called +13.7%; realized +11.6%.

The Call

Deep-loss EV startup: Saudi-backed liquidity runway, rising deliveries, but path to profitability remains distant and dilution risk is ever-present.

Base-case reasoning

CA incentive tailwind + Gravity ramp could lift sentiment. Dilution event or miss would collapse it.

Bull & Bear

▲ Bull

Gravity SUV ramp accelerates, CA incentives drive demand, short squeeze adds fuel, new CFO brings cost discipline. Re-rates toward $10–11.

▼ Bear

Equity raise at steep discount, macro EV demand softens, new CFO signals deeper problems. Breaks below $4.47 support and re-tests $3–3.50.

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