Track Record / LCID
LCID
Called Jul 6, 2026
at $6.31
at $6.31
▲ Bullish
+2.7% over 1 week
Reference price
$6.31
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 13, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -10.4%
Reference price
$6.31
Price at horizon
$5.66
Realized move
-10.4%
Scored Jul 13, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+2.7%; realized -10.4%.
The Call
Deep-loss EV startup: Saudi-backed liquidity runway, rising deliveries, but path to profitability remains distant and dilution risk is ever-present.
Base-case reasoning
CFO change news being digested; delivery beat is a mild positive. Range-bound likely.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Gravity SUV ramp accelerates, CA incentives drive demand, short squeeze adds fuel, new CFO brings cost discipline. Re-rates toward $10–11.
▼ Bear
Equity raise at steep discount, macro EV demand softens, new CFO signals deeper problems. Breaks below $4.47 support and re-tests $3–3.50.
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