Track Record / LCID
LCID
Called Jul 26, 2026
at $6.30
at $6.30
▼ Bearish
-0.8% over 1 week
Reference price
$6.30
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 2, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized +24.1%
Reference price
$6.30
Price at horizon
$7.82
Realized move
+24.1%
Scored Aug 2, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
-0.8%; realized +24.1%.
The Call
Saudi-backed EV startup with top-tier tech but hemorrhaging cash; 52-week range swing from $2.37 to $30.70 tells the volatility story
Base-case reasoning
Intraday showed $6.11-$6.67 range; momentum negative on -2.3% day. Near-term drift likely sideways to down.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
PIF injects capital, Gravity SUV deliveries ramp, gross margin improves toward -40% — re-rating possible.
▼ Bear
Liquidity crunch, dilutive raise at steep discount, demand softening in luxury EV segment accelerates downside.
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