Track Record / MSFT
MSFT
Called Jun 30, 2026
at $371.67
at $371.67
▲ Bullish
+10.8% over 3 months
Reference price
$371.67
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Sep 30, 2026
Pending
This call is open and on the clock
Scores on Sep 30, 2026
A public commitment, made Jun 30, 2026 with MSFT at $371.67.
It will be scored automatically on its horizon date against the trailing 3-day average price — whether it's right or wrong.
Nothing here is hindsight: the call, the entry price, and the deadline were all fixed at the time it was made.
The Call
Large-cap tech at 33% off 52-week high; AI monetization thesis intact but valuation re-rating risk lingers near-term.
Base-case reasoning
Recovery toward 28x trailing P/E on continued Azure growth. Requires no major macro shock or tariff escalation.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Azure growth re-accelerates >20% YoY; Copilot monetization adds $3B+ incremental rev; multiple expands to 30x trailing P/E.
▼ Bear
Digital services tariffs bite; Azure growth slows to <15%; FCF multiple compresses; stock re-tests 52-week low ~$349.
See how Sigma calls any ticker
Every official call is logged here and scored by a fixed rule. Run a live analysis on any of 5,000+ stocks — free.
Analyze MSFT live →