Track Record / MSTR
MSTR
Called Jul 5, 2026
at $100.77
at $100.77
▲ Bullish
+14.1% over 1 month
Reference price
$100.77
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 5, 2026
Pending
This call is open and on the clock
Scores on Aug 5, 2026
A public commitment, made Jul 5, 2026 with MSTR at $100.77.
It will be scored automatically on its horizon date against the trailing 3-day average price — whether it's right or wrong.
Nothing here is hindsight: the call, the entry price, and the deadline were all fixed at the time it was made.
The Call
Pure-play BTC treasury vehicle trading at ~22% of 52-week high; beta 3.57 makes it a high-octane crypto momentum play, not a traditional equity.
Base-case reasoning
BTC trajectory is the primary variable; base case holds if crypto legislation newsflow remains positive.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
BTC breaks $70K, crypto legislation passes, MSTR NAV premium re-expands; beta amplifies move to ~$145.
▼ Bear
BTC fades back to $50K, broader risk-off hits high-beta names hardest; MSTR retests 52-week low support.
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