Track Record / MU
MU
Called Jul 22, 2026
at $970.82
at $970.82
▲ Bullish
+2.0% over 1 week
Reference price
$970.82
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 29, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -9.3%
Reference price
$970.82
Price at horizon
$880.56
Realized move
-9.3%
Scored Jul 29, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+2.0%; realized -9.3%.
The Call
AI-driven memory demand surge; +12% single-day rip — momentum elevated, but valuation multiples and insider selling warrant caution near-term.
Base-case reasoning
Post-gap momentum may carry toward $1,000 psychological resistance; pullback to $920 gap fill also plausible.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
AI/HBM demand accelerates; earnings recovery beats forward estimates; institutional accumulation drives re-rating toward 52-week high.
▼ Bear
Post-July 30 earnings miss or guidance cut; FCF deterioration highlighted; insiders continue selling; gap fills toward $880 then $820.
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