Track Record / NFLX
NFLX
Called Jul 2, 2026
at $75.64
at $75.64
▲ Bullish
+25.6% over 3 months
Reference price
$75.64
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 2, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -9.6%
Reference price
$75.64
Price at horizon
$68.35
Realized move
-9.6%
Scored Oct 2, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+25.6%; realized -9.6%.
The Call
Large-cap streaming leader trading near 52-week lows; M&A noise cleared, but insider selling pressure and valuation vs. growth warrant scrutiny.
Base-case reasoning
Bull scenario requires earnings beat + subscriber growth reacceleration. Bear scenario sees macro drawdown pushing toward 52wk low.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Earnings beat + ad-tier subscriber acceleration + macro tailwinds could re-rate NFLX to ~28x forward earnings on higher estimates.
▼ Bear
Risk-off macro selloff, beta 1.52 amplifies decline; subscriber growth miss triggers re-rating below 52wk low.
See how Sigma calls any ticker
Every official call is logged here and scored by a fixed rule. Run a live analysis on any of 5,000+ stocks — free.
Analyze NFLX live →