Track Record / NKE
NKE
Called Jul 11, 2026
at $44.37
at $44.37
▲ Bullish
+17.2% over 3 months
Reference price
$44.37
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 11, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -22.0%
Reference price
$44.37
Price at horizon
$34.60
Realized move
-22.0%
Scored Oct 11, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+17.2%; realized -22.0%.
The Call
Beaten-down large-cap at 52-week lows; 3.8% yield provides income floor but EPS contraction and revenue decline are real headwinds.
Base-case reasoning
Recovery thesis depends on next earnings showing revenue/margin stabilization. Failure to deliver accelerates re-test of $40.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Revenue stabilizes in next 1-2 quarters; gross margin recovery to 44%+ drives EPS rebound. Institutional re-entry toward $60-65.
▼ Bear
Revenue decline worsens; dividend cut triggers institutional selling; $40 support breaks toward $36-38 range.
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