Track Record / NVDA
NVDA
Called Jun 28, 2026
at $192.53
at $192.53
▲ Bullish
+6.5% over 1 month
Reference price
$192.53
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 28, 2026
Pending
This call is open and on the clock
Scores on Jul 28, 2026
A public commitment, made Jun 28, 2026 with NVDA at $192.53.
It will be scored automatically on its horizon date against the trailing 3-day average price — whether it's right or wrong.
Nothing here is hindsight: the call, the entry price, and the deadline were all fixed at the time it was made.
The Call
AI/Semiconductor king at $192.53 — trailing 19% off 52w high; elite margins but insider selling heavy and forward P/E re-rates risk looms
Base-case reasoning
If AI spend narrative holds and broader market stabilizes, bounce toward $205-$218 zone plausible
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
AI capex cycle accelerates; Blackwell ramp exceeds estimates; macro stabilizes. Multiple re-rates to 45x forward.
▼ Bear
Macro shock, export restrictions expand, or hyperscaler capex pause triggers multiple compression to 25x forward.
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