Track Record / NVDA
NVDA
Called Jun 28, 2026
at $192.53
at $192.53
▲ Bullish
+11.7% over 3 months
Reference price
$192.53
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Sep 28, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized +16.9%
Reference price
$192.53
Price at horizon
$225.05
Realized move
+16.9%
Scored Sep 28, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+11.7%; realized +16.9%.
The Call
AI/Semiconductor king at $192.53 — trailing 19% off 52w high; elite margins but insider selling heavy and forward P/E re-rates risk looms
Base-case reasoning
Earnings catalyst key; beat could retest $236 high, miss could flush toward $160-$165 support
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
AI capex cycle accelerates; Blackwell ramp exceeds estimates; macro stabilizes. Multiple re-rates to 45x forward.
▼ Bear
Macro shock, export restrictions expand, or hyperscaler capex pause triggers multiple compression to 25x forward.
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