Track Record / NVDA
NVDA
Called Jul 19, 2026
at $202.81
at $202.81
▼ Bearish
-1.4% over 1 week
Reference price
$202.81
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 26, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized +3.2%
Reference price
$202.81
Price at horizon
$209.22
Realized move
+3.2%
Scored Jul 26, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
-1.4%; realized +3.2%.
The Call
AI-driven semiconductor giant; trailing P/E 30.7x belies 100%+ revenue growth; beta 2.24 means outsized moves both ways.
Base-case reasoning
Short-term selling pressure; testing $197-200 support band after -2.2% session.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
AI capex holds, next earnings beat + raise drives retest of $236 high and breakout toward $248.
▼ Bear
Export restriction escalation or earnings miss triggers de-rating; beta amplifies any broad market selloff.
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