Track Record / ORCL
ORCL
Called Jul 7, 2026
at $144.66
at $144.66
▲ Bullish
+3.8% over 1 month
Reference price
$144.66
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 7, 2026
FLAT
Scored FLAT · realized -0.7%
Reference price
$144.66
Price at horizon
$143.69
Realized move
-0.7%
Scored Aug 7, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+3.8%; realized -0.7%.
The Call
Cloud/AI infrastructure play trading 58% off 52-week highs; double-digit revenue growth intact but valuation and leverage cloud the thesis.
Base-case reasoning
If 52-week low holds and cloud pipeline news improves, a relief rally toward $150 is plausible.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
OCI deal wins accelerate, next earnings beat on EPS, AI infrastructure capex cycle intact. Multiple re-rates toward 28x on 24% EPS growth.
▼ Bear
Macro risk-off with beta 1.71 drags ORCL to new 52-week lows. Debt concerns surface, margins compress, sentiment worsens.
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