Track Record / PLTR
PLTR
Called Jul 1, 2026
at $123.18
at $123.18
▲ Bullish
+11.7% over 3 months
Reference price
$123.18
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 1, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized +52.1%
Reference price
$123.18
Price at horizon
$187.37
Realized move
+52.1%
Scored Oct 1, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+11.7%; realized +52.1%.
The Call
AI/data analytics darling riding government + commercial AIP momentum; priced for perfection at 62x sales with relentless insider selling.
Base-case reasoning
Fundamental growth supports a slow grind higher but extreme multiples make re-rating higher difficult without a major catalyst. Downside risk is meaningful.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
AIP land-and-expand accelerates; major DoD or NATO contract; AI spend cycle sustains; momentum buyers return.
▼ Bear
AI hype cools, growth decelerates, insiders continue selling, multiples compress to 40x P/S — stock revisits $95 range.
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