Track Record / PYPL
PYPL
Called Jul 29, 2026
at $58.34
at $58.34
▲ Bullish
+13.0% over 3 months
Reference price
$58.34
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 29, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -2.8%
Reference price
$58.34
Price at horizon
$56.69
Realized move
-2.8%
Scored Oct 29, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+13.0%; realized -2.8%.
The Call
Cheap on earnings & FCF, but revenue growth remains sluggish; takeover buzz adds speculative overlay to a slow-burn turnaround
Base-case reasoning
Base case re-rate on cheap FCF; bear case if revenue guidance disappoints next print.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Takeover bid materializes or revenue acceleration confirmed; multiple re-rates toward 13-14x forward P/E.
▼ Bear
Revenue growth disappoints further, takeover buzz fades, competitive pressure intensifies, multiple compresses.
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