Track Record / QCOM
QCOM
Called Jul 23, 2026
at $175.63
at $175.63
▲ Bullish
+13.9% over 3 months
Reference price
$175.63
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 23, 2026
FLAT
Scored FLAT · realized -0.1%
Reference price
$175.63
Price at horizon
$175.50
Realized move
-0.1%
Scored Oct 23, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+13.9%; realized -0.1%.
The Call
Value-priced chip giant at 33% off 52w highs; Samsung Snapdragon expansion + AI edge push could re-rate, but EPS headwinds linger.
Base-case reasoning
Recovery thesis depends on EPS stabilization. Samsung/AI edge wins could lift sentiment. Bear case: EPS miss pushes back toward $150.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Samsung Snapdragon expansion + AI edge wins drive EPS recovery. Forward P/E compresses back to 22-24x on restored earnings. Dividend support limits downside.
▼ Bear
EPS misses again, China risk escalates, or Apple modem loss accelerates. Stock retests $150 support near 52w lows.
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