Track Record / QCOM
QCOM
Called Jul 23, 2026
at $175.63
at $175.63
▲ Bullish
+5.3% over 1 month
Reference price
$175.63
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 23, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -8.3%
Reference price
$175.63
Price at horizon
$161.13
Realized move
-8.3%
Scored Aug 23, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+5.3%; realized -8.3%.
The Call
Value-priced chip giant at 33% off 52w highs; Samsung Snapdragon expansion + AI edge push could re-rate, but EPS headwinds linger.
Base-case reasoning
Fed rate decision + earnings cycle could drive a re-rating. If macro cooperates, consolidation above $168 targets $185-$195.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Samsung Snapdragon expansion + AI edge wins drive EPS recovery. Forward P/E compresses back to 22-24x on restored earnings. Dividend support limits downside.
▼ Bear
EPS misses again, China risk escalates, or Apple modem loss accelerates. Stock retests $150 support near 52w lows.
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