Track Record / RIVN
RIVN
Called Jul 6, 2026
at $19.12
at $19.12
▲ Bullish
+7.7% over 1 month
Reference price
$19.12
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 6, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -18.4%
Reference price
$19.12
Price at horizon
$15.60
Realized move
-18.4%
Scored Aug 6, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+7.7%; realized -18.4%.
The Call
48% revenue growth & R2 launch hype vs. -67% net margins and persistent cash burn; a speculative recovery play at $19.
Base-case reasoning
R2 delivery cadence updates and any gross margin commentary in next earnings could swing ±15%.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
R2 ramps on schedule, gross margin reaches 8%+, VW capital backstop removes dilution fear; re-rating to 6x P/S.
▼ Bear
R2 launch delays, continued cash burn, broader EV demand weakness forces dilutive equity raise below $15.
See how Sigma calls any ticker
Every official call is logged here and scored by a fixed rule. Run a live analysis on any of 5,000+ stocks — free.
Analyze RIVN live →