Track Record / SBUX
SBUX
Called Jul 12, 2026
at $106.01
at $106.01
▲ Bullish
+2.8% over 1 month
Reference price
$106.01
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 12, 2026
Pending
This call is open and on the clock
Scores on Aug 12, 2026
A public commitment, made Jul 12, 2026 with SBUX at $106.01.
It will be scored automatically on its horizon date against the trailing 3-day average price — whether it's right or wrong.
Nothing here is hindsight: the call, the entry price, and the deadline were all fixed at the time it was made.
The Call
Turnaround story at 52-week highs; sky-high multiples demand execution perfection from new CEO Brian Niccol.
Base-case reasoning
If turnaround metrics improve in next earnings, could push through $108 resistance. Miss re-tests $99.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Niccol restores comps, $400M cost cuts flow to margins, FCF rebounds — re-rates to 70x forward on recovered EPS.
▼ Bear
Execution stumbles, consumer spending weakens, dividend cut risk surfaces — de-rate to 50x on falling EPS.
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