Track Record / SHOP
SHOP
Called Jul 28, 2026
at $128.62
at $128.62
▲ Bullish
+1.1% over 1 week
Reference price
$128.62
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 4, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -8.6%
Reference price
$128.62
Price at horizon
$117.62
Realized move
-8.6%
Scored Aug 4, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+1.1%; realized -8.6%.
The Call
High-growth e-commerce platform rebounding on Q2 revenue optimism; premium valuation demands execution flawlessness
Base-case reasoning
Post-catalyst momentum from Q2 guidance optimism may sustain near-term; resistance at 52wk levels caps upside.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Q2 revenue confirms high-twenties growth, subscription acceleration drives re-rating toward prior highs near $182. AI-native commerce tools expand TAM.
▼ Bear
Macro headwinds (tariffs, consumer slowdown) hit GMV; growth decelerates to low-twenties; 122x P/E compresses to 80x. Beta amplifies any broad selloff.
See how Sigma calls any ticker
Every official call is logged here and scored by a fixed rule. Run a live analysis on any of 5,000+ stocks — free.
Analyze SHOP live →