Track Record / SNOW
SNOW
Called Jul 8, 2026
at $258.60
at $258.60
▲ Bullish
+2.6% over 1 month
Reference price
$258.60
Horizon
1 month
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Aug 8, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized +24.4%
Reference price
$258.60
Price at horizon
$321.78
Realized move
+24.4%
Scored Aug 8, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+2.6%; realized +24.4%.
The Call
Cloud data warehouse leader trading at 19x revenue; strong growth but deep operating losses and heavy insider selling create a complex risk/reward at $258.
Base-case reasoning
If broader tech bid holds, SNOW could recover toward mid-range of its recent channel; earnings risk if report lands in window.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
AI workload adoption (Cortex/Snowpark) re-accelerates growth above 35%; margin improvement signals; stock retests ATH and breaks out.
▼ Bear
Revenue growth decelerates below 25%; P/S multiple compresses to 14x; insider selling accelerates; down 25% from current.
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