Track Record / T
T
Called Jun 27, 2026
at $22.71
at $22.71
▲ Bullish
+7.9% over 3 months
Reference price
$22.71
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Sep 27, 2026
Pending
This call is open and on the clock
Scores on Sep 27, 2026
A public commitment, made Jun 27, 2026 with T at $22.71.
It will be scored automatically on its horizon date against the trailing 3-day average price — whether it's right or wrong.
Nothing here is hindsight: the call, the entry price, and the deadline were all fixed at the time it was made.
The Call
Deep-value telecom yielding ~5%; cheap multiples vs. heavy debt load, SpaceX competition risk, and a 52-week range overhang.
Base-case reasoning
Base case: cheap multiple + safe dividend drives modest price appreciation. Bear case: competitive news or macro risk pulls to prior lows.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Fee hikes + fiber/5G sub adds + debt paydown triggers re-rating to ~9x forward EPS. Yield compression plays out if rates fall.
▼ Bear
Starlink adoption accelerates, subscriber losses mount, debt rollover costs rise — dividend cut risk re-emerges and multiple compresses further.
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