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Track Record / T

T Called Jun 27, 2026
at $22.71
▲ Bullish +7.9% over 3 months
Reference price
$22.71
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Sep 27, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized +11.7%
Reference price
$22.71
Price at horizon
$25.38
Realized move
+11.7%
Scored Sep 27, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called +7.9%; realized +11.7%.

The Call

Deep-value telecom yielding ~5%; cheap multiples vs. heavy debt load, SpaceX competition risk, and a 52-week range overhang.

Base-case reasoning

Base case: cheap multiple + safe dividend drives modest price appreciation. Bear case: competitive news or macro risk pulls to prior lows.

Bull & Bear

▲ Bull

Fee hikes + fiber/5G sub adds + debt paydown triggers re-rating to ~9x forward EPS. Yield compression plays out if rates fall.

▼ Bear

Starlink adoption accelerates, subscriber losses mount, debt rollover costs rise — dividend cut risk re-emerges and multiple compresses further.

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